Casinos Online-Internet Gambling Roulette has an elegant touch


Probability and the 50 50 Bet
Jacks or Better Video Poker
By the Time Progressives Hit
Before You Can Expect to Win?
All-or-Nothing Gambles
Percentages are Fact, not Opinion (Baccarat)
Winners May Need Advice
Know What You Can and Can't Control in the Casino
$10 bets at double-zero roulette
Law, Luck, and the Leningrad Elephant
Blackjack Hands
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Nickel Slots
Simpler is better
Spreading money around the craps table
Best dealers upcard for Blackjack players
Picking numbers and RNGs
Results after quitting the game
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Bankrolls 2
Betting Progressions
Bank roll fluctuations in Blackjack
Flipping a coin
Laws of Probability
Bad Start to a Game
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Place Betting at Craps
Balance Between Chance and Payoff
Self Help Quiz
Quitting While Ahead
Betting on Don't Come in Craps
House Edge vs. Betting Strategies
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Even Fighting Edge
Beating the Odds to Overcome Edge
Strategy for Craps Fans
Gambling Books
Intuition in Games
Betting at Craps
How Often Should You Get What You Expect?
Can Casinos Predict Jackpots?
Gambling Theories, History, and Other Lies
Overestimating Your Chances of a Hit
Give Lay Bets at Craps a Look-See

PLAYING IT SMART by ALAN KRIGMAN

There's an elegant touch to roulette that most people miss

Roulette has an underlying elegance few solid citizens (or casino bosses, for that matter) appreciate. Bets on combinations such as corners or columns pay the same as on the total spread uniformly over the identical numbers. It's invariably in whole dollars, and it means that the edge is consistent regardless of what's bet.

This holds universally at single-zero roulette. Double-zero games have two possible exceptions. First, the "five-number" line (0, 00, 1, 2, and 3) pays 5-to-1; these spots separately pay 6.2-to-1. Second, even-money "outside" bets return half in some casinos on 0 or 00; money on the coincident 18 spots is a total loss.

To see what this feature means, pretend you drop $20 on the boundary between two numbers -- a split. If either number hits, you get 17-to-1 and earn $20 x 17 or $340. What if you had $10 on each number separately? A hit on one pays 35-to-1, grossing you $10 x 35 or $350; however, you lose $10 on the other so your net is $350 - $10 or $340. Just as with the $20 on the split.

Here's another example. Make believe you put $1 on each of four three-number streets -- for instance the rows 1-2-3, 4-5-6, 7-8-9, and 10-11-12. Streets pay 11-to-1. A hit therefore earns you $11 minus $1 each on the three misses for a net of $11 - $3 or $8. You could cover the matching 12 numbers for $4 by betting the "1st 12." This pays 2-to-1, earning you $4 x 2 or $8, as before.

This phenomenon follows from the amount paid on a single number and the layout of the betting area. Picture a prototype game with some number of equally-likely outcomes. Say that $1 on one spot pays $X and returns the bet. For combinations to pay the same as the separate parts, $1 split between any two numbers would pay $(X-1)/2, $1 on three numbers would pay $(X-2)/3, and so on.

Check it out for roulette. A $1 bet on a single number pays $35. The roulette combinations involve two, three, four, six, 12, and 18 numbers. Some third grade arithmetic and a calculator may help here. The formula gives $(35-1)/2 = $17 for two, $(35-2)/3 = $11 for three, $(35-3)/4 = $8 for four, $(35-5)/6 = $5 for six, $(35 - 11)/12 = $2 for 12 and $(35 - 17)/18 = $1 for 18.

For fun, try the formula for other single-number payoffs, based on the standard combinations and requiring payouts to be in whole dollars. The options are limited. As examples, at 36-to-1, no combinations fit the criteria; 37-to-1 would pay a split 18-to-1 and a 19-number combination 1-to-1, although the latter wouldn't be feasible on the layout; going the other way, 34-to-1 would pay 6-to-1 and 4-to-1 on five-and seven-number combinations, respectively, but neither of these works with a 3 x 12 layout.

At 47-to-1, two, three, four, six, eight, 12, 16, and 24 numbers give whole-dollar payoffs. This suggests a wheel with 49 or 50 grooves and a layout with a 3 x 16 array plus a 0 or a 0 and 00, giving the house 2.04 and 4.00 percent edge, respectively.

Another choice might be 29-to-1. This pays whole dollars for combinations of two, three, five, six, 10, and 15 numbers. A 31- or 32-groove wheel would do it, edgewise. But a problem arises in configuring a layout accommodating enough of these bets to keep the game interesting. Two-number splits are always possible but 4-number corners would be disallowed. The rest might use a 0 or a 0 and a 00 with either three 10-row columns and groups for three, six, and 15, or five 6-row columns for five, 10, and 15 numbers.

An 11-to-1 single-number payoff would return 5-to-1 for two, 3-to-1 for three, 2-to-1 for four, and 1-to-1 for six (1-to-1) numbers. This suggests a 13-position wheel and a 3 x 4 array from 1 through 12 plus a zero. House edge would 7.69 percent.

Maybe you thought a wizened or street-smart old gambling guru pulled the roulette layout and payoffs out of the air. It wasn't that simple. The game doubtless evolved over a long period until something "clicked" and the configuration stabilized. It reflects what the poet, Sumner A Ingmark, insinuated when he inked:

Ideas good and bad oft have differences subtle,
Distinguishing gems from the dross you should scuttle.

(c) 2007, ICON/Information Concepts Inc

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